I hope that you will understand what I am saying and get some idea of what I do on a daily basis.. Sorry, I do not have an army of moles in the top stables, but to be a professional punter you need to first think like a bookmaker. After all just look at the annual profits from the big boys in the industry. Now, if we act like them we will make a profit over time, so let’s look at how they achieve
their vast fortunes. When they price up a race they build in something called an overround. This is their profit margin and this margin varies depending often on the type of race they are pricing up. An extreme example of this is the 2015 Grand National (other high profile race meetings such as Cheltenham and Ascot are treated similarly). They priced up the race to a massive 165% overround, thus almost certainly guaranteeing an enormous profit, whichever horse won. If we can turn these figures around into our favour we then will be acting like the bookmakers. The way we achieve this is by backing horses that the bookmakers have priced up wrongly, this is to say the horses that we back early are going to shorten in price as the money comes for them. By backing horses at, for example, 10/1 which return an SP of 9/2 you will make money because, instead of there being an overround in the bookmakers’ favour, the figures are now in your favour. So, rather than betting, with a bookies’ overround considerably above 100%, you may well be betting to a figure of 95-97% which will mean guaranteed returns for you in the long term. This is where we make consistent profits just like the bookmaker. Of course there will be good days and bad days (bookies’ suffer those too) but that does not bother them and it shouldn’t bother us. An extra plus is that I can use the many bookmakers who offer best odds guaranteed just in
case a horse does drift in price. People either love this or hate this, there seems to be no middle ground. The people who hate it condemn it mainly because, as far as they’re concerned, winning money this way requires too much time and effort. Now, if you are one of the people who are likely to hate this, then it surely makes sense to understand what is involved, and what you need, before wasting your time (and possibly mine) on something that you simply don’t want to do. With that in mind, I have drawn up a list below of requirements in order that you can make an informed decision before you take this any further. Requirements to make this service work for you
•You have the time and inclination to place on average 40 bets per day (can be up to 80+ on a Saturday)
•You are able to open multiple bookmaker accounts
•You are not tied to Betfair only, but you have access to it
•You have time to spare between 10:30 and 12:30 each day (you don’t tie up the full 2 hours)
•You have the ability to set aside a bank and the discipline to emotionally separate yourself from the money in it
•You are able to accept that even the most successful gambling has its ups and downs
•You have money, aside from the bank, available to use (not put at risk) in keeping bookmakers’ and Betfair accounts topped up. In my case this equates to about 4 times the actual bank (saves me having to top up frequently)
There may be occasions when no selections are given and if you are the sort of person who would be upset, or feel short changed, by not receiving selections every single day without fail don’t join. I do not intend to become involved in discussions about fractions of a month’s subscription, or altering renewal dates. Having said that, in the past there have been very few days without selections (and these were mainly due to the weather)
If the above makes sense to you, this service may be something you can enjoy. If not, then my personal belief is that this service is not for you. If, however, you have any questions, not covered by the above, please feel free to e-mail me at [email protected]. What I do, apparently, works. However if you wish to receive the selections and do something different with them, please accept that I will not be able to tell you whether that will work or not. I only know about that which I actually do. If you do decide to take this up please understand that you must be the judge (not me) as to whether this is worth continuing with. Your results are all that matter, mine are irrelevant, they will not make you one penny richer or poorer, only yours will do that. It is not a question of comparing your results with mine, it’s a question of deciding whether yours are good enough.
