12/10/2019
Week 6 is upon and one thing we know is that we don’t know anything!
A good matchup should have propelled Michel on Thurs night but he’s been plodding along.
So let’s see if we can get it right!
QB
Kyle Allen - Car vs TB in London - Allen’s initial debut where he posted 24.3 fantasy points may have set the bar too high — he’s averaged just 7.5 FPPG since — but a matchup with Tampa Bay is exactly what could get Allen back on the right path. The Bucs secondary was just lit up by Teddy Bridgewater to the tune of 314 passing yards and four passing touchdowns. This is the same Bridgewater that entered the matchup having yet to clear the 200-yard mark and threw for just two scores in three games. The Bucs pass defense ranks either 32nd or 31st in most fantasy points to opposing QBs, WRs, and TEs. Allen is a strong streaming candidate.
Gardner Minshew - Jax vs NO – Minshew has been a repeat streaming candidate on this list. Not only does he have a soft schedule (facing New Orleans this week), but he’s been performing really well on a week-to-week basis. He’s scored at least 16 fantasy points in every game and is coming off a season-high 21.2 outing where he threw for 374 passing yards and two scores. He’s also gone over the 40-yard rushing mark twice, essentially adding a passing touchdown to his fantasy total (4-point TD leagues). The 2019 Saints defense is far from the 2018 version, providing another matchup for Minshew to exploit.
Case Keenum Wash @ MIA – Keenum is expected to get the starting nod heading into Week 6, returning to the field after a foot injury sidelined him briefly. The Dolphins are the most fantasy-friendly environment for an opposing QB, yielding the most fantasy points, highest QB Rating against, and second-most passing touchdowns. Prior to leaving Week 4’s matchup due to his foot injury, Keenum was averaging 311 passing yards per game and 2.3 passing TDs per game.
RB
Adrian Peterson Wash vs Mia - something has to give both winless teams square off in Miami.
Wash has anew coach who is committed to the run against the worst Defense in the league.
This is a great matchup for this week only.
Derrick Henry - Tennessee @ DEN – Left tackle Taylor Lewan’s return to the offensive line should help a unit that’s ranked in the middle of the pack per FootballOutsider’s Adjusted Line Yards metric (4.23, 21st). The Broncos run defense should also supplement Henry to a big outing, with them allowing 4.5 YPC to opposing backs and the eighth-most rushing yards to the position through the first five weeks. Henry’s averaging 19.6 carries per game and with this game just a 2.5-point spread (in favor of DEN), it should be close throughout to keep Henry in semi-neutral gamescript to keep running the ball.
Chris Carson - Sea vs Cleve - he’s one of five RB with 15 carries in all 5 games this season.
He going up against a Cleve D who has given up the third most yards per carry.
He’s the guy!
James Conner - who else they got? Third string QB vs a Charger D.
He will be heavily involved here.
WR
Mohammed Sanu - Atl vs Ari - One of just 12 receivers with four or more catches in all five weeks this season, Sanu actually leads Falcons WRs in receptions (29). He is running the majority of his routes out of the slot, and if you think Pittsburgh is bad against the slot, Arizona is right there. Against slot receivers this season, the Cards have given up the third-most receptions, the third-most yards, and are tied for the second-most touchdowns allowed.
Michael Gallup - The Jets have been much more vulnerable to the deep pass (15-plus yards) this season than short passes, so give me Gallup in this one. More than 38% of Gallup's points have come via the deep ball, and in three games this season, he has 20 catches for 339 yards and a TD (17.0 yards per catch).
DJ Chark - Jax vs NO - Chark is merely the fifth-best WR in fantasy right now. Coming off a Week 5 in which he set career highs in catches (8), receiving yards (164) and fantasy points (36.4), Chark now has five touchdown receptions in his past five games. With a 21.8% target share, expect this to be another Chark Week (thank you, thank you! I'll show myself out) against a Saints squad that has given up the seventh-most fantasy points to WRs and the fifth-most yards to them this season.
TE
Austin Hooper, Falcons (at Cardinals): You start your slot receivers against the Steelers and you start your tight ends against the Cardinals. To be fair, you start everyone against the Cards, but whatevs. Hooper has quietly been balling out this season, with double-digit targets in each of the past two weeks and the second-most catches among all tight ends. Meanwhile, as brutal as Arizona's defense has been, it is at its brutalest (which I'm semi-positive is a word) facing tight ends. The Cardinals allow the most touchdowns, yards and fantasy points to opposing tight ends while allowing the third-most receptions. Giddyup.
Will Dissly, Seahawks (at Browns): Speaking of quiet, over the past four weeks the No. 1 tight end in fantasy is ... Will Dissly. He has at least five catches and 50 yards in each of those games, and he's been targeted on 28.9% of his routes this season (fifth-highest among TEs). The Browns have been washed for four touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, tied for second-most in the NFL.
D
Wash vs Miami - New coach, two bad teams = something’s gotta give. Plus they did get after the Pats last week.
Seattle vs Cleve - Cleveland has talent but also they turn the ball over a lot.
Just a hunch here but I think Seattle will get their share.
Baltimore vs Cinncy - need I say more??