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Fantasy-Itis - The Dr. is In Weekly Fantasy Football Picks From Your Host Scott Segal & Co.

04/09/2021

The Doctor and the gang with special guest will be coming soon

10/10/2020

Week 5 is here, kind of!
Two games got pushed out until Monday and another one until Tuesday.
Such is life in the Covid NFL.
In the meantime games will be played so here are some players to keep your eyes on:
QB:
Jared Goff LA Rams vs Wash - The Football team is stingy against the run and with 3 players vying for touches it might be Goff who is the difference here.
Last Week vs the Giants, Goff was pedestrian like. This week I expect a bounce back.

Daniel Jones - NYG vs Dallas - Dallas has a terrible D. In fact I’m not even sure they know it’s tackle football.
The Giants O is no bargain either but something’s gotta give and the edge goes to the G-Men

The Mustache man Gardner Minshew - Jax vs Hou - Houston is terrible and you get the sense Minshew will bounce back. DJ Chark returns from injury so this will help.
James Robinson’s running could prevent Minshew from completely going off as the Hou D is terrible against the run.
However, they fired their HC Bill O’Brien and the Intrim coach is Romeo Crennel, who the team loves. Look for more intensity from Hou this week meaning the ceiling isn’t as high.

RB
Mike Davis Car vs Atl - Since McCaffrey has been out, Davis is averaging 22.7 FP, 23.3 XFP, 3.0 opportunities inside the 10-yard-line, 14.5 carries, and 7.5 targets per game. Those numbers rank 5th-, 2nd-, 2nd-, 17th-, and 3rd-best among RBs over this span. That last stat might be most important. Atlanta has been stout against the run, ranking 8th-best in YPC allowed (3.60), but they’ve given up the most receiving FPG to opposing running backs (19.4) and rank 10th-worst in total FPG allowed (29.6).

Antonio Gibson Wash vs Rams -

Currently the RB21 in fantasy points per game, Gibson drafters can’t be disappointed with where he’s at right now. He’s produced exactly how you expected -- as a low-end RB2 / FLEX play -- and now he has a chance to take another step forward with Washington’s quarterback change. Switching from Dwayne Haskins to Kyle Allen could be very beneficial for Gibson. Last year as Carolina’s starter, Allen threw to his running backs 27% of the time, which was the seventh-highest rate in the NFL. By comparison, Haskins has targeted his RBs on just 20% of his throws in his career. Washington drafted Gibson to be a major factor in their passing game and we finally saw that last week. Gibson’s first three receptions against Baltimore came split out as a wide receiver and he exploded for 65 yards on two screens and a shallow crosser. Gibson’s matchup on the ground is solid this week, too. The Rams are allowing the sixth-most expected points per carry and rank fifth-worst in FootballOutsiders run defense DVOA metrics.

Kenyon Drake Ari vs Jets - It’s the Jets and the Drake should roll.

WR

03/10/2020

Week 4 is here and we got a late start to the season because of my other duties.
I am on stand by in case the President takes a turn for the worse.
In any event let’s go to what I do best, I think?
I’m not going to go with the obvious players.
Too easy the purpose here is to find diamond in the rough.
So let’s go!
QB - Ryan Fitzpatrick he’s slowly coming on and plays a Seattle D that is decimated by injuries. The bearded dragon goes off here.

Jared Goff - this might be tricky. He plays a terrible Giant team in that if they’re up big no need to throw. But I think he’ll be just fine here and rack up points.

Baker Mayfield- he hasn’t score 16pts yet in three games but he has a shot against a Dallas D that doesn’t scare anyone.
Could be a high scoring game meaning he’ll get his points.

RB
James Robinson Jax Vs. Cinncy - undrafted and has taken the lead back role by Storm. So. I have so they released Fournette.
He plays a terrible Cinncy team and as long as he gets fed, he’ll be fine!

Darrell Henderson Rams Vs Giants - in a sea of RBBC he’s the one out in front. He plays a terrible Giants team that he should do well with.
No Cam Akers means more carries and in his last two games: Thirty-five touches, 241 scrimmage yards, two touchdowns and 6.1 yards per carry.

Ronald Jones - TB vs Chargers - Fournette is out hurt and so are 5 defensive players for LA.
RoJo should be fed well..

WR
OBJ - this one might seem obvious but he really hasn’t done much the last 12 to 15 games.
He even came out and said were a running team so my production will be limited.
Not this week, he gets a Dallas team struggling on D. Should be a big week for OBJ

Will Fuller - Hou vs Minnesota- They come in at 0-3 but Watson and Co. Should do well against a bad Minny D.
Look for the Texans to get off the mat.

Hunter Renfrow - Vegas vs Buff - everyone is hurt for LV and someone has to step up vs a Buffalo D that is bottom five in yards and receptions allowed to the slot, which means Renfrow has a chance to follow up his breakout performance from Week 3, especially given the health (or lack thereof) of the rest of the Raiders' pass-catchers

TE
Dalton Shultz - Dallas vs Cleve
He’s stepped up and Cleve D is nothing to be worried about.

Super Sleeper
Ryan Izzo NE vs KC - It’s Bill, meaning he’ll come up with something no one is expecting.
Since Gronk left the TE position has been terrible but you gotta have one so why not go to where everyone least expects it.
This is a Major Reach here

For D
Rams vs Giants
TB vs Chargers

Good luck and remember it’s China’s fault if these picks don’t pan out!!

29/09/2020

The Dr. will be back this week! With everything going on, my services were needed elsewhere but now that the virus has hit the NFL, it’s time to help you with your lineups!
Stay tuned!!!!

02/11/2019

Week 9 Big week, Byes, a big game between the Pats and Ravens and we have a great week ahead.
Now if only we can pick the right players 🤔😉😜
We’ll do our best so here goes.
QB
Josh Allen, Bills (vs. Redskins): With multiple touchdown passes in three straight and a rushing touchdown or at least eight rush attempts in six of seven games this season, there's a nice floor for Allen in a game where the Bills are a double-digit favorite. Among the many things Washington fails to do is bring pressure (fourth-lowest rate in the league), and that's going to help Allen find open receivers. When Allen isn't pressured, his career completion percentage is 64.5% (when pressured, just 33.1%).

Kirk Cousins, Vikings (at Chiefs): It helps if Patrick Mahomes is back for this one for Kansas City, but even if he's not, Matt Moore should be good enough that Cousins will have to throw. And when he does, he will be successful. The Chiefs allow the fifth-most yards per deep completion (hello, Stefon Diggs), and over the past three weeks, opponents have completed 67.9% of passes vs. K.C. With one of the highest over/unders on the slate and my expectation that the Chiefs sell out to stop Dalvin Cook, Cousins should be able to take some deep shots here. Remember, Cousins is one of the best play-action QBs in the league.

Finally, I know last weekend against San Francisco was brutal for Kyle Allen, but it's been that way for everyone. Back at home against a Titans secondary that's 12th-worst the past four weeks, I like Allen's chances at 15 points or more. Rivers, Jameis Winston, Minshew and Josh Allen each scored at least 17.5 fantasy points against Tennessee this season.

RB
Derrick Henry - Tenn - he gets the volume but it’s nothing extraordinary if he can break one or two look out. He has a chance.

Devin Singletary - Buff - he’s been hurt, inconsistent and just plain eh!
Now he gets Redskin team where he can get back on track.

Jordon Howard Phi vs Chic - revenge game? Maybe but more importantly Sanders is banged up and he gets most of the share.
The bears D isn’t as good as they were so he has a chance.

WR
Here’s to you Allen Robinson II, Bears (at Eagles): With at least five catches in five straight games (only the second time in his career he has done that), A-Rob is the one part of the Bears passing attack that's working. With more perimeter targets than any other Bears pass-catcher, this is a matchup made in heaven for Robinson. No team in the NFL allows more perimeter yards, attempts or touchdowns than the Philadelphia Eagles.

John Brown, Bills (vs. Redskins): With more than 50 receiving yards in every game this season and at least five catches in six of seven games, Brown is in line for another solid game against Washington. The Skins allow a TD on deep throws at the fifth-highest rate this season and give up more than 29 yards per deep completion, eighth most.

By the way, don't be scared to fire up Robby Anderson, either. A bad Dolphins secondary got worse when Xavien Howard was placed on IR earlier this week. ...plus I think Darnold goes off if they need to throw.

TE
Cameron Brate - OJ Howard is out and this has the makings of a high scoring game.
If Evans & Goodwin are covered 😂 then he’ll get some check downs.

Jonnu Smith - Walker is out and this is a tougher matchup but roll with him.

Def
Buff vs Wash
Jets vs Miami

Good luck this week!
And as always drop is a line to ask any start/sit questions or anything else.

26/10/2019

Wow! Week 8 already!
Who’s ready to win some money??
I know I am and here are the players looking good!

QB
Ryan Tannehill - Tenn vs TB
The Titans showed life last week, Corey Davis emerged from the dead with his best game of the year, thanks to Tannehill.
Now he has one of the worst passing defenses in the league.
Roll with Tannehill and you won’t be disappointed.

Jared Goff - Rams vs Cinncy - when he has time to throw he’s dangerous but when he doesn’t he’s ugly. This week they play a Bengal team who is bad at getting to the QB.

Matt Stafford - Det vs NYG - The Giants don’t get to the QB either so he’ll have time to throw. He’s been good the last few weeks so he’s prime to continue it.

Sleeper - Sam Darnold - Ghosts or no Ghosts, this is a bounce back week for him. This is purely a hunch. If he sucks then blame the Ghosts.

RB
Sony Michel - Pats vs Cleve - weather looks bad. Rain, wind and a quagmire. Michel average yards per carry is ugly but they will move the ball and set up on the goal line a lot so expect 2 TD’s and an ugly 75 yards on like 21 carries.

Aaron Jones & Jamal Williams - GB vs. KC - KC gives up 4.99 per carry. The way GB is playing in this high scoring game, expect big numbers for both players.

Marlon Mack, Colts (vs. Broncos): The same reasons I am down on Brissett are why I am on board with Mack having a big week against a Broncos squad that, as mentioned previously, is allowing the second-most yards per carry after first contact this season. Mack has at least 16 carries in five of six games this season, and I expect another heavy workload, as the Colts are a 6-point home favorite.

WR
Courtland Sutton - Den vs Indy - Sanders in now in SF, he’s the new No. 1 WR and he owns a 46% target share.
He’ll get the ball.

Tyler Lockett, Seahawks (at Falcons): If we were drafting today for the rest of the year, Lockett deserves to go among the top seven WRs. He has a TD or at least 75 yards in six of seven games this season. Lockett has been everything we thought he'd be this season, and so much more. The good times will continue to roll Sunday against a Falcons team that has given up the third-most fantasy points to wide receivers this season. Five WRs have scored at least 20 points against Atlanta this season and this Sunday, Lockett makes it six.

Corey Davis - Tenn vs TB - Tannehill is the QB and he’ll throw him the dam ball.
Two weeks big weeks in a row coming up??

John Brown - Insert fast, perimeter receiver facing the Eagles here: John Brown has scored 88.5% of his points this season when lined up out wide. Meanwhile, Philly has been gashed by perimeter wideouts for a league-high nine TD catches, a league-high 1,158 yards and the second-most receptions by those lined up out wide (72)

TE
Hunter Henry - Hunter Henry, Chargers (at Bears): Over the past two weeks, Henry leads all tight ends in targets, receptions, yards and fantasy points while boasting a solid 21.3% target share. Is that good? Because that seems good. With two first names (always a crowd-pleaser), I like Henry's chances to keep it going against a Bears squad allowing 13.5 TE PPG this season (11th-most). OK, I get that "11th-most" may not sound like a high ranking, but ...

1. It's higher than you'd guess.
2. Three of Chicago's past five games have come against a bottom-10 offense in terms of TE PPG.
3. Six TEs this season have a TD or four-plus catches in a game against the Bears.

Jimmy Graham - Nine red zone targets is big but now you actually have to catch the ball.
He’s not great but then again this TE position is weak, so you go with what you got.

Austin Hooper - Atl vs Seattle - Sanu is in N.E. which opens up more targets. He’s been great all year and if Ryan doesn’t play then he’ll get even more looks.

D
Patriots - but this is a no brainer
Jax vs Jets - I see ghosts
Rams - vs Cinncy - no O-line equals a get right game for the Rams.

Good Luck everyone

20/10/2019

The Doctor is in...

19/10/2019

Good evening Fantasyitis fans. Although the Doctor and I are very busy working on new endeavors like Positive Straw Company, where you can get all kinds of Biodegradable straws at great prices. Just check out positivestrawcompany.com, the website is currently under construction and should be up next week. However, I still continue to work towards winning the Millionaire Maker on Draftkings as well as FanDuel and FantasyDraft. If you have not signed in to Fanduel you can sign up under Fantasyitis and get some more benefits. This week I have some time to help my fans win this week as last week I was 32 points off on the Millionaire Maker and 27 points in FantasyDraft, if only I knew Hunter Henry was going to play??? Well as I would say on the show Let's Go....

At QB I have Audibled from Ryan and Goff to these 4 plays, But they are definitely playable
I like:
1.Josh Allen to have 3-4 TD's vs Miami (FAVORITE PLAY)
2.Wilson is the MVP so you gotta play an MVP
3.Danny (Dimes) Jones to have a field day at home vs Arizona my surprise favorites is:
4.Ganer Minchew-Looking into what he has accomplished is pretty good, But his match-up is PURE GOLD JERRY (Seinfeld) vs Cincy who now will be without their top two cornerbacks (and their No. 3 cornerback is playing with a fractured forearm).

RB
I love Fournette vs Cincy
Gurley vs Atlanta who could steal the TD's From Goff
Cook will be cooking
Barkley vs Ari
Freeman is a good play but I just can't
Lat Murray is a steal with Kamara out
Mack will attack
J. Jacobs is cheap GB is not really good against the run
but the surprise play that no one will be on is Singletary for Buffalo, when he plays albeit 2 games was over 10 fantasy points in each game and this is a smash game and Gore will take a back seat to the Rookie..GIDDY UP!!!!

WR
I have really narrowed it down and I hope I got it right because if I do it will be a great Sunday Funday.
I love these play
Kupp, TY Hilton, John Brown, DJ Chark Jr, DK Metcalf, Fitzgerald who people think he does not have a high ceiling but (come on Man) its fantasy football and this is a great match-up and I want him to surprise his ceiling with 2 TD'S would make it a big ceiling so what the heck....
Mike Williams is a target machine with a rough year this year so maybe he breaks out this week? or not? well see

TE
This is simple my Favorite is Engram then Andrews, Henry, Everett, Kittle and a sneaky Luke Wilson

D
Bills are pricey but Saints have a great matchup vs Bears,
Bears too, Colts always seem to keep Watson at bay, heck they did it with Mahomes, Tenn is not bad and they need to win...

That is it. You have your winning line-ups thanks to the Doctor and me Scott Segal. Thank you for checking it out!!!! NOW Let's Go WIn Some Money!!!!!!

The Doctor and Scott Segal

19/10/2019

Week 7 is here!
Who do we like this week?
Let’s roll.
If you haven’t figured it out, we try to pick the best matchups.
Players vs. weak defenses or players we think are going to bounce back - see Stephan Diggs.
In any event here we go!

QB’s
Josh Allen Buff vs Mia - It’s vs Miami need I say more??
If he doesn’t pass he can run and Miami can’t stop anything.

Jared Goff LAR vs Atl - I can’t believe I’m putting him on here. He’s usually a must start each week but they are 3-3 and struggling.
This is his get right game vs an Atl D that has no D either.
This will be a high scoring game and the points will pile up.

Jacoby Brissett- Indy vs Hou - With more than 16 points in four of five games this season, Jacoby Brissett comes off the bye to face a Texans defense that is the seventh worst against the pass the past four weeks. This game has sneaky high-scoring appeal, as it features two good offenses and two struggling defenses.

RB’s
Josh Jacobs - Oak vs GB - coming off a bye vs a GB D that’s isn’t great. Jacobs is their workhorse so he’ll get plenty of touches and opportunities.

Tevin Coleman and Matt Breida, 49ers (at Redskins): Think the Niners win this one? Me too. As a 10-point road favorite, it's worth noting the Niners lead the NFL in rush rate when leading (60%). Washington coughs up the sixth-most yards per carry before first contact this season (3.29) and given that San Francisco is second in time of possession.

Carlos Hyde continues to scare away defensive linemen. Or something like that, because Hyde has gained at least five yards on 40.2% of his carries this season, second best among the 32 RBs with at least 50 carries. With 47 carries the past two weeks, the workload is as good as there is in football recently, and he quietly has scored three times in the past four games. To top it all off, the Colts are tied for the second-worst red zone defense this season.

WR
T.Y. Hilton, Colts (vs. Texans): With at least 115 yards in four of his past five games against Houston, Hilton couldn't have gotten healthy at a better time. In fact, his top two career games (and three of his top five) have come against the Texans and it should continue. The majority of Hilton's fantasy output this season has come when he is lined up out wide, and the Texans have allowed a league-high 10.0 receptions per game to WRs lined up wide.

Golden Tate - NYG vs ARI - 15 targets in two games since returning from suspension against a weak Defense spells points galore for Tate.

Michael Gallup, Cowboys (vs. Eagles): Start your pass-catching RB vs. Atlanta, your tight ends against Arizona, your slot receivers against Pittsburgh, and your WR that lines up out wide against Philly. Nine of the 13 passing TDs allowed by the Eagles have been to the receiver lined up out wide (no team has allowed more wide TD passes this season). This season, six receivers have scored at least 22 points against Philadelphia. Those six receivers compiled 89% of their points when lined up out wide. Meanwhile, Gallup has caught 23 of 35 targets this season when lined up wide for 379 yards, and with Amari Cooper banged up, expect Dak Prescott to look for Gallup early and often.

TE’s
George Kittle, 49ers (at Redskins): My Redskins have been vulnerable all over the place, and the short pass game (less than 10 air yards) is no exception: fourth-most short yards allowed, fifth-highest short completion percentage, and tied for the fifth-most short TD passes allowed. Why does this matter? Kittle owns a 28.3% short target share this season (second to Michael Thomas among pass-catchers).

Ben Watson - NE vs Jets - this is just pure hunch here. He was suspended and then cut and now back.
Experience and lack of TE’s and WR in Patriots land means Brady’s got to throw it to someone.
Plus Brady’s been talking about getting receivers that have experience.
Big Ben has that.
He may get 1 catch for 7 yards or he may get 6 catches for 70 yards.

Jason Witten - Dallas vs Philly - he has a chance to be really good.
No double team coverage and he’s a vet who can get open.
I got a feeling about him.

Defense
49ers
Jax
Buffalo
N.O.

12/10/2019

Week 6 is upon and one thing we know is that we don’t know anything!
A good matchup should have propelled Michel on Thurs night but he’s been plodding along.
So let’s see if we can get it right!

QB
Kyle Allen - Car vs TB in London - Allen’s initial debut where he posted 24.3 fantasy points may have set the bar too high — he’s averaged just 7.5 FPPG since — but a matchup with Tampa Bay is exactly what could get Allen back on the right path. The Bucs secondary was just lit up by Teddy Bridgewater to the tune of 314 passing yards and four passing touchdowns. This is the same Bridgewater that entered the matchup having yet to clear the 200-yard mark and threw for just two scores in three games. The Bucs pass defense ranks either 32nd or 31st in most fantasy points to opposing QBs, WRs, and TEs. Allen is a strong streaming candidate.

Gardner Minshew - Jax vs NO – Minshew has been a repeat streaming candidate on this list. Not only does he have a soft schedule (facing New Orleans this week), but he’s been performing really well on a week-to-week basis. He’s scored at least 16 fantasy points in every game and is coming off a season-high 21.2 outing where he threw for 374 passing yards and two scores. He’s also gone over the 40-yard rushing mark twice, essentially adding a passing touchdown to his fantasy total (4-point TD leagues). The 2019 Saints defense is far from the 2018 version, providing another matchup for Minshew to exploit.

Case Keenum Wash @ MIA – Keenum is expected to get the starting nod heading into Week 6, returning to the field after a foot injury sidelined him briefly. The Dolphins are the most fantasy-friendly environment for an opposing QB, yielding the most fantasy points, highest QB Rating against, and second-most passing touchdowns. Prior to leaving Week 4’s matchup due to his foot injury, Keenum was averaging 311 passing yards per game and 2.3 passing TDs per game.

RB
Adrian Peterson Wash vs Mia - something has to give both winless teams square off in Miami.
Wash has anew coach who is committed to the run against the worst Defense in the league.
This is a great matchup for this week only.

Derrick Henry - Tennessee @ DEN – Left tackle Taylor Lewan’s return to the offensive line should help a unit that’s ranked in the middle of the pack per FootballOutsider’s Adjusted Line Yards metric (4.23, 21st). The Broncos run defense should also supplement Henry to a big outing, with them allowing 4.5 YPC to opposing backs and the eighth-most rushing yards to the position through the first five weeks. Henry’s averaging 19.6 carries per game and with this game just a 2.5-point spread (in favor of DEN), it should be close throughout to keep Henry in semi-neutral gamescript to keep running the ball.

Chris Carson - Sea vs Cleve - he’s one of five RB with 15 carries in all 5 games this season.
He going up against a Cleve D who has given up the third most yards per carry.
He’s the guy!

James Conner - who else they got? Third string QB vs a Charger D.
He will be heavily involved here.

WR
Mohammed Sanu - Atl vs Ari - One of just 12 receivers with four or more catches in all five weeks this season, Sanu actually leads Falcons WRs in receptions (29). He is running the majority of his routes out of the slot, and if you think Pittsburgh is bad against the slot, Arizona is right there. Against slot receivers this season, the Cards have given up the third-most receptions, the third-most yards, and are tied for the second-most touchdowns allowed.

Michael Gallup - The Jets have been much more vulnerable to the deep pass (15-plus yards) this season than short passes, so give me Gallup in this one. More than 38% of Gallup's points have come via the deep ball, and in three games this season, he has 20 catches for 339 yards and a TD (17.0 yards per catch).

DJ Chark - Jax vs NO - Chark is merely the fifth-best WR in fantasy right now. Coming off a Week 5 in which he set career highs in catches (8), receiving yards (164) and fantasy points (36.4), Chark now has five touchdown receptions in his past five games. With a 21.8% target share, expect this to be another Chark Week (thank you, thank you! I'll show myself out) against a Saints squad that has given up the seventh-most fantasy points to WRs and the fifth-most yards to them this season.

TE
Austin Hooper, Falcons (at Cardinals): You start your slot receivers against the Steelers and you start your tight ends against the Cardinals. To be fair, you start everyone against the Cards, but whatevs. Hooper has quietly been balling out this season, with double-digit targets in each of the past two weeks and the second-most catches among all tight ends. Meanwhile, as brutal as Arizona's defense has been, it is at its brutalest (which I'm semi-positive is a word) facing tight ends. The Cardinals allow the most touchdowns, yards and fantasy points to opposing tight ends while allowing the third-most receptions. Giddyup.

Will Dissly, Seahawks (at Browns): Speaking of quiet, over the past four weeks the No. 1 tight end in fantasy is ... Will Dissly. He has at least five catches and 50 yards in each of those games, and he's been targeted on 28.9% of his routes this season (fifth-highest among TEs). The Browns have been washed for four touchdowns to opposing tight ends this season, tied for second-most in the NFL.

D
Wash vs Miami - New coach, two bad teams = something’s gotta give. Plus they did get after the Pats last week.

Seattle vs Cleve - Cleveland has talent but also they turn the ball over a lot.
Just a hunch here but I think Seattle will get their share.

Baltimore vs Cinncy - need I say more??

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